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Red210
4112127.3
5132113.3
6325108.5
Blue271
1648133.7
5608101.8
1795114.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260247150200300350210271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#18
127.33.3
115.1118.5
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
blue by 6.4
1648
#13
133.70.3
117.8118.1
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
Second
5132
#34
113.35.7
110.3115.9
Auto13.1
Teleop92.1
End5.2
blue by 1.3
1795
#27
114.65.6
97.1102.7
Auto13.3
Teleop94.5
End5.8
Third
6325
#40
108.50.3
115.7115.4
Auto13.3
Teleop87.6
End4.4
red by 6.7
5608
#32
101.80.4
112.4112.8
Auto12.6
Teleop79.4
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed