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Red259
832149.1
1102146.8
565199.3
Blue330
2415148.1
6705170.9
1002125.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2083290100300400500600259330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
149.15.8
114.5120.3
Auto16.7
Teleop115.6
End16.2
blue by 21.8
170.97.1
127.4134.6
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
Second
146.85.3
104.2109.5
Auto16.9
Teleop112.3
End19.6
blue by 1.3
148.10.6
127.2126.6
Auto23.3
Teleop112.6
End12.6
Third
5651
#33
99.31.7
87.288.9
Auto13.9
Teleop79.1
End6.2
blue by 25.7
1002
#19
125.04.1
116.2120.4
Auto15.6
Teleop98.9
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed