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Red253
6925112.5
5608101.8
6705170.9
Blue218
5482127.0
4189143.9
4926122.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512860100200400500600253218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.96.3
134.6140.9
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
red by 26.9
143.94.1
128.8132.9
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
Second
6925
#21
112.53.8
96.6100.4
Auto13.8
Teleop88.0
End16.0
blue by 14.5
5482
#17
127.05.0
116.3121.3
Auto14.3
Teleop96.8
End16.2
Third
5608
#32
101.81.7
112.8114.5
Auto12.6
Teleop79.4
End12.0
blue by 20.7
4926
#23
122.62.5
112.5115.0
Auto13.9
Teleop95.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed