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Red227
326598.3
4749120.6
7104110.3
Blue235
688799.2
5132113.3
4189143.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2153080100400500227235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4749
#24
120.64.9
106.5111.4
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End12.0
blue by 23.3
143.92.7
135.1137.8
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
Second
7104
#37
110.32.5
97.099.5
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
blue by 3.0
5132
#34
113.31.6
123.1124.7
Auto13.1
Teleop92.1
End5.2
Third
3265
#38
98.30.3
96.797.0
Auto11.3
Teleop81.5
End5.0
blue by 0.9
6887
#36
99.22.7
91.294.0
Auto15.1
Teleop75.0
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed