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Red116
5132113.3
573480.6
6177139.6
Blue247
1225127.9
1002125.0
6325108.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29426202004006008001,000116247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6177
#10
139.67.0
132.5139.5
Auto20.5
Teleop104.8
End14.0
red by 11.7
127.92.9
114.7117.6
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
Second
5132
#34
113.31.0
124.7125.8
Auto13.1
Teleop92.1
End5.2
blue by 11.7
1002
#19
125.01.1
130.7131.7
Auto15.6
Teleop98.9
End10.6
Third
5734
#39
80.60.2
92.392.1
Auto10.1
Teleop65.1
End5.8
blue by 28.0
6325
#40
108.51.1
116.7115.6
Auto13.3
Teleop87.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed