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Red242
6919114.2
4188131.6
2415148.1
Blue283
4189143.9
6705170.9
5632104.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722910100200400500600242283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.12.9
137.7140.6
Auto23.3
Teleop112.6
End12.6
blue by 22.8
170.92.5
155.2157.7
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
Second
4188
#16
131.60.3
130.0129.7
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
blue by 12.4
143.90.9
139.5140.4
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
Third
6919
#12
114.22.6
101.3103.9
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End11.2
red by 10.1
5632
#25
104.01.1
106.4105.3
Auto15.3
Teleop76.5
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed