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Red335
829176.6
326598.3
832149.1
Blue121
6177139.6
1311120.8
5608101.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352320100200300400500600335121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#2
176.63.9
160.9164.8
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
red by 37.0
6177
#10
139.60.6
139.5140.2
Auto20.5
Teleop104.8
End14.0
Second
832
#3
149.13.0
137.6140.6
Auto16.7
Teleop115.6
End16.2
red by 28.3
1311
#11
120.81.1
124.3123.2
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4
Third
3265
#38
98.30.1
99.399.4
Auto11.3
Teleop81.5
End5.0
blue by 3.6
5608
#32
101.82.9
111.1108.3
Auto12.6
Teleop79.4
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed