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Red377
688799.2
1414132.8
1225127.9
Blue127
5482127.0
565199.3
5109127.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442820100200400500600700377127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#15
132.81.7
128.5126.7
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
red by 5.7
5109
#22
127.01.3
131.5132.8
Auto18.4
Teleop95.1
End10.1
Second
127.91.6
117.6119.2
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
red by 0.9
5482
#17
127.00.2
129.1129.3
Auto14.3
Teleop96.8
End16.2
Third
6887
#36
99.21.2
95.794.6
Auto15.1
Teleop75.0
End10.7
blue by 0.1
5651
#33
99.30.2
102.0102.2
Auto13.9
Teleop79.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed