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Red139
1795114.6
326598.3
1002125.0
Blue227
832149.1
5632104.0
1311120.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248274100200300400500139227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#19
125.01.8
132.0130.2
Auto15.6
Teleop98.9
End10.6
blue by 24.1
832
#3
149.12.3
140.6143.0
Auto16.7
Teleop115.6
End16.2
Second
1795
#27
114.62.4
112.9115.3
Auto13.3
Teleop94.5
End5.8
blue by 6.2
1311
#11
120.81.8
123.2121.5
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4
Third
3265
#38
98.30.3
99.499.7
Auto11.3
Teleop81.5
End5.0
blue by 5.8
5632
#25
104.00.5
105.3104.9
Auto15.3
Teleop76.5
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed