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Red173
6471126.3
1683114.2
1311120.8
Blue347
4189143.9
5109127.0
1102146.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280286150200250350400450173347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6471
#14
126.316.0
74.190.1
Auto16.2
Teleop99.5
End10.3
blue by 20.5
146.87.4
89.797.1
Auto16.9
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Second
1311
#11
120.815.8
76.292.0
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4
blue by 23.2
143.913.6
96.6110.2
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
Third
1683
#29
114.29.6
98.7108.3
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End9.2
blue by 12.8
5109
#22
127.015.7
77.593.2
Auto18.4
Teleop95.1
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed