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Red133
4189143.9
1225127.9
1795114.6
Blue317
1414132.8
829176.6
1648133.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256337100200300400500600133317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.91.5
141.4142.9
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
blue by 32.6
829
#2
176.63.1
167.7170.8
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
Second
127.92.9
123.5126.3
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
blue by 5.8
1648
#13
133.71.7
130.2132.0
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
Third
1795
#27
114.60.6
115.3116.0
Auto13.3
Teleop94.5
End5.8
blue by 18.2
1414
#15
132.81.9
128.9130.7
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed