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Red359
1311120.8
4112127.3
3494136.6
Blue154
6325108.5
5482127.0
326598.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172220100400500600359154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.63.1
128.2131.3
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End28.8
red by 9.6
5482
#17
127.00.2
127.5127.3
Auto14.3
Teleop96.8
End16.2
Second
4112
#18
127.31.3
121.7123.0
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
red by 18.8
6325
#40
108.52.1
112.2110.1
Auto13.3
Teleop87.6
End4.4
Third
1311
#11
120.81.3
121.5120.1
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4
red by 22.5
3265
#38
98.30.8
99.798.9
Auto11.3
Teleop81.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed