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Red209
5582115.6
688799.2
6471126.3
Blue304
4188131.6
7104110.3
1002125.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257297100200400500209304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6471
#14
126.31.3
124.2125.6
Auto16.2
Teleop99.5
End10.3
blue by 5.3
4188
#16
131.60.3
130.2130.5
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
Second
5582
#26
115.61.4
116.9115.6
Auto16.8
Teleop89.7
End6.0
blue by 9.4
1002
#19
125.03.1
128.1125.0
Auto15.6
Teleop98.9
End10.6
Third
6887
#36
99.21.6
97.599.2
Auto15.1
Teleop75.0
End10.7
blue by 11.1
7104
#37
110.30.9
107.0107.9
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed