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Red281
5608101.8
6910116.7
4188131.6
Blue108
4112127.3
7104110.3
1225127.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842330100200400500600700281108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#16
131.65.7
114.5120.2
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
red by 3.7
127.97.5
92.5100.0
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
Second
6910
#31
116.712.0
77.789.7
Auto13.3
Teleop97.9
End3.9
blue by 10.7
4112
#18
127.39.3
101.6110.9
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
Third
5608
#32
101.85.3
102.6107.9
Auto12.6
Teleop79.4
End12.0
blue by 8.4
7104
#37
110.38.5
77.786.2
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed