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Red270
6340138.8
832179.8
1311148.3
Blue215
4910200.0
6341126.9
5109123.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763090100200500600700270215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#4
179.80.9
182.2183.1
Auto20.1
Teleop130.3
End29.3
blue by 20.2
200.01.6
211.2209.6
Auto20.2
Teleop152.7
End29.9
Second
1311
#17
148.30.0
157.4157.4
Auto17.5
Teleop113.2
End15.6
red by 21.3
6341
#25
126.91.0
138.4137.4
Auto13.0
Teleop102.3
End8.9
Third
6340
#15
138.80.9
142.8143.7
Auto15.3
Teleop108.8
End16.8
red by 15.4
5109
#10
123.40.5
126.0126.5
Auto17.4
Teleop97.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed