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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Galileo Division
Red282
1939154.6
4613210.1
5190213.1
Blue325
1577196.7
1197171.4
4587181.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4093330100200500600700800282325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#16
213.10.3
213.4→213.1
Auto25.2
Teleop161.1
End26.3
red by 16.3
1577
#8
196.70.1
197.1→197.0
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
4613
#3
210.10.0
210.1→210.1
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
red by 29.1
4587
#43
181.10.0
181.1→181.1
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
Third
1939
#12
154.60.0
154.6→154.6
Auto16.8
Teleop118.3
End19.5
blue by 16.8
1197
#29
171.40.1
171.1→171.2
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6