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Red386
3937186.4
3598139.0
2486166.9
Blue274
3965147.2
6357124.6
649164.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4192420100200300500600700800386274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#21
186.40.5
180.0180.5
Auto22.3
Teleop139.7
End22.3
red by 21.7
649
#37
164.70.2
157.0157.1
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
Second
2486
#13
166.90.7
168.0168.6
Auto25.5
Teleop119.5
End23.6
red by 19.7
3965
#38
147.21.4
131.3132.7
Auto20.5
Teleop102.1
End27.8
Third
3598
#42
139.01.0
140.0141.0
Auto21.4
Teleop107.9
End8.6
red by 14.4
6357
#22
124.60.6
113.8114.4
Auto17.1
Teleop94.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed