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Red246
4201144.3
6833133.0
3230169.6
Blue478
4488197.6
1311157.4
5857123.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33535802006008001,0001,200246478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#57
169.61.5
181.4179.9
Auto20.2
Teleop129.8
End18.8
blue by 27.9
4488
#4DQ
197.60.4
186.4186.8
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
Second
4201
#47
144.30.3
141.6141.9
Auto22.3
Teleop114.0
End7.9
blue by 13.1
1311
#44
157.41.0
155.7156.7
Auto17.2
Teleop120.0
End19.4
Third
6833
#66
133.00.6
147.9147.3
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End15.0
red by 9.5
5857
#48
123.52.2
123.1125.3
Auto15.7
Teleop99.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed