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Red329
4091139.7
4613210.1
3653150.0
Blue472
1577196.7
3005197.4
2468167.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323420100200500600329472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.11.0
208.1209.0
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
red by 12.7
197.41.2
195.2196.4
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
Second
3653
#33
150.01.3
147.7149.0
Auto17.9
Teleop112.7
End18.7
blue by 46.7
196.70.2
196.6196.9
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Third
4091
#54
139.71.0
137.9138.9
Auto17.4
Teleop98.4
End25.8
blue by 27.9
2468
#32
167.60.5
167.0167.5
Auto24.3
Teleop127.5
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsMissed