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Red314
5190213.1
3598139.0
3005197.4
Blue437
2659171.6
4451180.7
5817161.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38633801,0001,5002,0002,5003,000314437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#16
213.10.4
213.0213.4
Auto25.2
Teleop161.1
End26.3
red by 32.4
4451
#11
180.71.5
176.6178.0
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
Second
197.41.1
196.4197.4
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
red by 25.8
2659
#14
171.60.0
171.4171.4
Auto27.7
Teleop123.0
End19.7
Third
3598
#42
139.00.2
138.9139.0
Auto21.4
Teleop107.9
End8.6
blue by 22.7
161.73.0
156.6159.6
Auto17.3
Teleop119.2
End29.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned