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Red406
368177.9
1197171.4
4587181.1
Blue167
4910211.2
6304103.6
5960115.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172440100200300500600406167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#43
181.10.7
181.7181.1
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
blue by 30.2
4910
#17
211.21.2
212.9211.7
Auto22.0
Teleop160.9
End25.6
Second
368
#19
177.91.5
172.7174.2
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
red by 62.2
5960
#45
115.70.5
115.2115.7
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End14.1
Third
1197
#29
171.40.1
171.1171.0
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
red by 67.9
6304
#59
103.61.9
105.5103.6
Auto18.2
Teleop80.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed