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Red297
5145137.4
3937186.4
6429177.3
Blue251
846173.0
1577196.7
5190213.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2844400100200400500600297251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#21
186.41.0
181.7182.7
Auto22.3
Teleop139.7
End22.3
blue by 26.7
5190
#16
213.10.1
214.6214.7
Auto25.2
Teleop161.1
End26.3
Second
6429
#24
177.30.2
183.6183.8
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End8.2
blue by 19.4
196.70.8
198.7199.5
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Third
5145
#28
137.41.0
140.3139.3
Auto17.1
Teleop107.3
End16.0
blue by 35.6
846
#5
173.00.6
174.4173.8
Auto24.3
Teleop136.0
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsMissed