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Red82
6357124.6
5857123.5
6999100.7
Blue402
1574218.0
368177.9
3653150.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142476010020030040060070082402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#22
124.60.5
116.1116.6
Auto17.1
Teleop94.5
End13.2
blue by 93.4
218.00.5
217.8218.4
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
Second
5857
#48
123.50.8
128.2127.4
Auto15.7
Teleop99.0
End8.5
blue by 54.5
368
#19
177.91.1
166.6167.8
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
Third
6999
#63
100.70.1
102.4102.2
Auto14.8
Teleop76.0
End11.6
blue by 49.3
3653
#33
150.00.7
144.1144.9
Auto17.9
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed