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Red342
701137.2
1986202.2
1577196.7
Blue262
5857123.5
649164.7
4201144.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302450100200300500600700342262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.20.9
199.1200.0
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 37.5
649
#37
164.70.7
159.8160.5
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
Second
196.70.6
199.5198.9
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
red by 52.5
4201
#47
144.30.6
142.0142.6
Auto22.3
Teleop114.0
End7.9
Third
701
#61
137.20.9
145.2144.3
Auto24.5
Teleop105.5
End7.2
red by 13.7
5857
#48
123.51.3
127.4126.1
Auto15.7
Teleop99.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
80%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed