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Red225
6824126.7
4205118.3
6429177.3
Blue309
2682159.6
2659171.6
3008141.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307364100200400500225309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6429
#24
177.31.0
183.7182.7
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End8.2
red by 5.7
2659
#14
171.60.2
171.6171.8
Auto27.7
Teleop123.0
End19.7
Second
6824
#46
126.70.8
126.0126.8
Auto20.4
Teleop93.6
End9.3
blue by 32.9
2682
#15
159.60.3
159.6159.2
Auto20.4
Teleop116.4
End23.1
Third
4205
#56
118.30.0
121.1121.1
Auto17.5
Teleop90.8
End11.6
blue by 22.8
3008
#34
141.10.1
144.7144.8
Auto17.6
Teleop103.2
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed