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Red152
5515124.2
4635189.4
5145137.4
Blue459
4488197.6
4613210.1
5960115.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284402100200500600152459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#27
189.41.8
192.1193.9
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
blue by 20.7
210.10.2
206.4206.6
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
Second
5145
#28
137.40.1
138.3138.2
Auto17.1
Teleop107.3
End16.0
blue by 60.2
197.60.1
189.4189.5
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
Third
5515
#68
124.20.3
126.2125.8
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
red by 8.5
5960
#45
115.70.0
114.1114.1
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned