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Red305
4451180.7
2789120.2
4610121.1
Blue413
4201144.3
846173.0
4293138.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269361100200300400500600305413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
180.70.4
174.5174.2
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
red by 7.7
846
#5
173.00.9
172.1171.2
Auto24.3
Teleop136.0
End13.4
Second
4610
#49
121.10.4
118.2118.7
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End18.3
blue by 23.2
4201
#47
144.30.4
142.6143.0
Auto22.3
Teleop114.0
End7.9
Third
2789
#36
120.21.0
114.2115.3
Auto17.3
Teleop91.0
End13.3
blue by 18.3
4293
#60
138.50.2
142.3142.1
Auto17.3
Teleop109.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed