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Red318
1817145.4
3006108.3
6168129.2
Blue270
4205118.3
6304103.6
6886161.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873060100200400500600318270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#20
145.41.4
138.2139.5
Auto18.0
Teleop111.4
End13.6
blue by 16.4
6886
#23
161.80.9
164.5163.6
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
Second
6168
#55
129.21.7
124.0125.7
Auto20.3
Teleop93.0
End18.6
red by 10.9
4205
#56
118.30.5
120.8120.3
Auto17.5
Teleop90.8
End11.6
Third
3006
#62
108.30.8
105.0105.8
Auto16.6
Teleop84.6
End9.0
red by 4.8
6304
#59
103.62.1
109.5107.5
Auto18.2
Teleop80.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed