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Red225
6026139.8
4587181.1
4205118.3
Blue405
649164.7
846173.0
7277117.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304342100200400500225405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#43
181.10.1
181.9181.7
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
red by 8.1
846
#5
173.00.2
170.6170.8
Auto24.3
Teleop136.0
End13.4
Second
6026
#52
139.81.1
138.4139.5
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End12.4
blue by 24.8
649
#37
164.70.3
161.2161.5
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
Third
4205
#56
118.30.7
120.3119.6
Auto17.5
Teleop90.8
End11.6
red by 1.2
7277
#50
117.20.6
117.4116.8
Auto18.9
Teleop84.9
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned