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Red213
649164.7
4451180.7
2485183.8
Blue449
3374147.3
1574218.0
4488197.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359375200250300400450500550213449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#26
183.80.1
183.8183.9
Auto22.7
Teleop132.6
End28.2
blue by 34.2
218.00.1
217.5217.6
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
Second
4451
#11
180.70.5
179.8180.3
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
blue by 16.9
197.60.5
195.2195.7
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
Third
649
#37
164.70.4
164.1164.4
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
red by 17.4
3374
#53
147.30.1
146.7146.8
Auto22.5
Teleop113.7
End10.3