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Red315
2485183.8
4451180.7
649164.7
Blue436
3374147.3
1574218.0
4488197.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347383200300500600315436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#26
183.80.1
183.9183.8
Auto22.7
Teleop132.6
End28.2
blue by 34.2
218.00.1
217.6217.7
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
Second
4451
#11
180.70.3
180.3180.7
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
blue by 16.9
197.60.5
195.7196.2
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
Third
649
#37
164.70.2
164.4164.7
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
red by 17.4
3374
#53
147.30.1
146.8146.9
Auto22.5
Teleop113.7
End10.3