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Red303
368177.9
1817145.4
3674172.0
Blue257
1577196.7
1197171.4
4587181.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34538402006008001,000303257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#19
177.90.5
175.7176.2
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
blue by 18.8
196.70.1
197.0196.9
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
3674
#10
172.00.4
170.4170.8
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
blue by 9.0
4587
#43
181.10.0
181.1181.1
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
Third
1817
#20
145.40.5
144.0144.5
Auto18.0
Teleop111.4
End13.6
blue by 26.0
1197
#29
171.40.1
171.2171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6