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Red411
368177.9
4256136.6
3674172.0
Blue212
1577196.7
1197171.4
4587181.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3283910100200500600700800411212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#19
177.90.4
176.2176.6
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
blue by 18.8
196.70.2
196.9196.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
3674
#10
172.00.3
170.8171.1
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
blue by 9.0
4587
#43
181.10.1
181.1181.1
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
Third
4256
#30
136.60.2
136.4136.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
blue by 34.9
1197
#29
171.40.0
171.4171.4
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6