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Red270
2619131.2
3538207.3
2832146.3
Blue424
3641174.6
6193167.3
5229128.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35230602004006008001,000270424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.30.2
207.1207.3
Auto21.2
Teleop163.9
End23.0
red by 32.6
3641
#21
174.60.4
175.5175.1
Auto20.6
Teleop140.9
End13.6
Second
2832
#16
146.30.1
146.5146.3
Auto19.1
Teleop107.1
End17.0
blue by 21.0
167.30.4
164.5164.9
Auto18.7
Teleop129.1
End21.3
Third
131.20.3
130.9131.2
Auto18.4
Teleop100.4
End15.3
red by 2.8
5229
#32
128.40.1
127.2127.2
Auto15.9
Teleop93.7
End20.1