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Red334
5509162.9
3641174.6
5193167.8
Blue348
9996131.5
6861138.6
3538207.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35530602006008001,0001,2001,400334348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#21
174.60.9
177.6176.7
Auto20.6
Teleop140.9
End13.6
blue by 32.6
207.30.5
205.7206.1
Auto21.2
Teleop163.9
End23.0
Second
5193
#23
167.80.9
167.4166.5
Auto16.4
Teleop121.4
End29.1
red by 29.2
6861
#11
138.61.8
142.2140.4
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End18.6
Third
5509
#18
162.91.1
165.2164.1
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End24.1
red by 31.5
131.53.1
114.5117.6
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed