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Red363
5712161.6
5224147.2
6193167.3
Blue258
83095.9
5216164.6
3536178.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335321200250300350400363258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.30.1
163.9163.9
Auto18.7
Teleop129.1
End21.3
blue by 11.4
3536
#14
178.71.3
182.5181.2
Auto22.0
Teleop133.6
End22.4
Second
161.60.4
162.0161.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.1
End21.6
blue by 3.1
5216
#13
164.60.6
163.7164.2
Auto17.5
Teleop126.0
End20.2
Third
5224
#31
147.21.9
151.6149.7
Auto22.1
Teleop112.6
End11.6
red by 51.3
830
#29
95.93.0
101.598.5
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End-3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed