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Red393
2832146.3
439093.5
3770170.3
Blue163
6631104.0
4362176.2
5224147.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763470100200300400500393163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.31.2
171.2170.0
Auto20.0
Teleop128.4
End20.6
blue by 6.0
176.20.5
176.3176.8
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
Second
2832
#16
146.32.0
148.5146.5
Auto19.1
Teleop107.1
End17.0
blue by 0.9
5224
#31
147.21.3
149.7148.4
Auto22.1
Teleop112.6
End11.6
Third
4390
#19
93.50.6
92.993.5
Auto15.2
Teleop69.9
End10.2
blue by 10.6
6631
#20
104.00.5
103.6104.1
Auto16.4
Teleop77.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed