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Red364
1250141.2
2619131.2
4362176.2
Blue317
6193167.3
5509162.9
5229128.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328328200250300350400364317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.22.3
181.5179.2
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
red by 8.9
167.30.2
164.3164.4
Auto18.7
Teleop129.1
End21.3
Second
1250
#25
141.21.0
147.6146.7
Auto20.3
Teleop106.5
End13.5
blue by 21.7
5509
#18
162.91.4
166.6165.2
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End24.1
Third
131.20.3
127.5127.8
Auto18.4
Teleop100.4
End15.3
red by 2.8
5229
#32
128.41.7
124.2126.0
Auto15.9
Teleop93.7
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed