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Red211
5193167.8
5603177.6
83095.9
Blue369
5216164.6
4362176.2
5166103.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300342100200400500211369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#12
177.60.2
176.1176.3
Auto21.6
Teleop131.8
End24.1
red by 1.3
176.21.6
179.2177.6
Auto16.9
Teleop144.7
End14.2
Second
5193
#23
167.80.4
167.8167.4
Auto16.4
Teleop121.4
End29.1
red by 3.1
5216
#13
164.61.8
158.7160.5
Auto17.5
Teleop126.0
End20.2
Third
830
#29
95.93.3
110.6107.3
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End-3.4
blue by 7.1
5166
#30
103.00.5
106.0105.5
Auto15.3
Teleop75.5
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed