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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Shenzhen Regional
Red358
6402120.4
6706133.5
6948104.0
Blue209
1797119.4
1884140.3
7047109.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602780100200400500358209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#6
133.50.2
132.4→132.6
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
blue by 6.8
1884
#7
140.30.0
140.2→140.2
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
Second
6402
#12
120.40.4
118.2→118.6
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
red by 1.0
1797
#10
119.40.2
120.0→119.7
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
Third
6948
#31
104.00.2
103.6→103.8
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
blue by 5.2
7047
#16
109.20.3
108.4→108.7
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8