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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Shenzhen Regional
Red199
6402120.4
6706133.5
6948104.0
Blue377
1797119.4
1884140.3
7047109.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692740100200400500600199377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#6
133.50.2
132.6→132.8
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
blue by 6.8
1884
#7
140.30.0
140.2→140.2
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
Second
6402
#12
120.40.5
118.6→119.1
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
red by 1.0
1797
#10
119.40.2
119.7→119.5
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
Third
6948
#31
104.00.2
103.8→104.0
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
blue by 5.2
7047
#16
109.20.2
108.7→108.9
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8