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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Shenzhen Regional
Red260
5522141.9
5449150.8
6941113.3
Blue351
5839119.6
5823137.8
5516121.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334256100200300400500600260351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#3
150.80.4
147.9→148.4
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
red by 13.0
5823
#9
137.80.5
136.0→136.6
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
Second
5522
#5
141.90.7
137.6→138.3
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
red by 20.6
5516
#19
121.30.2
120.7→120.8
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Third
6941
#13
113.30.3
114.9→114.6
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
blue by 6.3
5839
#28
119.60.1
119.1→119.2
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9