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Qual 102018 Shenzhen Regional
Red188
6946106.0
694093.2
7006134.0
Blue380
6952114.7
5449150.8
6706133.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24927804006008001,0001,2001,4001,600188380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7006
#23
134.014.3
77.7→92.0
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End15.3
blue by 16.8
5449
#3
150.812.1
86.8→98.9
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
Second
6946
#22
106.012.4
77.7→90.1
Auto15.2
Teleop86.0
End3.2
blue by 27.5
6706
#6
133.59.8
92.4→102.2
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
Third
6940
#34
93.210.4
77.7→88.2
Auto13.5
Teleop76.6
End3.4
blue by 21.5
6952
#21
114.711.3
77.7→89.0
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed