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Qual 252018 Shenzhen Regional
Red192
6402120.4
700093.1
6766112.5
Blue209
7184111.7
7047109.2
6952114.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246269100200300400500192209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6402
#12
120.44.9
97.9→102.7
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
red by 5.7
6952
#21
114.74.6
107.8→112.4
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
Second
6766
#14
112.51.5
107.8→109.3
Auto16.1
Teleop93.3
End1.9
red by 0.8
7184
#27
111.70.3
98.3→98.6
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
Third
7000
#33
93.10.4
95.6→95.9
Auto14.2
Teleop76.0
End3.1
blue by 16.1
7047
#16
109.23.0
103.1→106.0
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed