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Red238
1797119.4
6941113.3
6393107.3
Blue204
6952114.7
5823137.8
6801121.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261310100200400500238204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1797
#10
119.43.9
114.3118.2
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
blue by 18.4
137.83.1
131.9135.0
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
Second
6941
#13
113.33.2
107.9111.0
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
blue by 8.0
6801
#18
121.36.2
109.9116.1
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End7.2
Third
6393
#11
107.32.1
102.2104.3
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
blue by 7.4
6952
#21
114.70.3
115.7115.3
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed