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Qual 562018 Shenzhen Regional
Red319
7095109.8
6402120.4
6801121.3
Blue209
6393107.3
7009100.1
7080117.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289243100200400500319209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6801
#18
121.31.0
119.7→120.7
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End7.2
red by 3.4
7080
#24
117.91.0
115.9→116.8
Auto12.5
Teleop92.5
End13.9
Second
6402
#12
120.42.0
111.0→113.0
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
red by 13.1
6393
#11
107.30.4
103.9→104.3
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
Third
7095
#32
109.81.4
105.6→107.0
Auto14.7
Teleop83.4
End9.0
red by 9.7
7009
#35
100.10.4
103.9→103.5
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed