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Red201
7047109.2
5516121.3
6948104.0
Blue386
5883158.5
7184111.7
5831126.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043390100300400500600201386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5516
#19
121.30.3
120.5120.7
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
blue by 37.1
158.53.2
146.7149.9
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
Second
7047
#16
109.20.1
108.4108.3
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8
blue by 17.6
126.92.1
120.9123.0
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
Third
6948
#31
104.00.3
102.3102.5
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
blue by 7.7
7184
#27
111.71.6
107.9109.6
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed