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Qual 652018 Shenzhen Regional
Red199
544587.7
6952114.7
6766112.5
Blue143
5516121.3
6941113.3
7149118.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2053050100400500199143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6952
#21
114.70.9
113.1→114.0
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
blue by 6.6
5516
#19
121.30.6
120.7→121.3
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Second
6766
#14
112.50.7
111.1→111.8
Auto16.1
Teleop93.3
End1.9
blue by 5.9
7149
#17
118.42.1
115.8→117.9
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
Third
5445
#29
87.70.5
90.1→89.6
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 25.6
6941
#13
113.30.3
116.5→116.2
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed