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Qual 762018 Shenzhen Regional
Red296
7149118.4
5839119.6
5449150.8
Blue340
5883158.5
6801121.3
544587.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304267100150200350400450296340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#3
150.81.0
147.0→147.9
Auto17.9
Teleop115.1
End19.3
blue by 7.7
5883
#1
158.52.6
152.1→154.7
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
Second
5839
#28
119.60.3
119.4→119.1
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9
blue by 1.7
6801
#18
121.30.2
120.6→120.8
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End7.2
Third
7149
#17
118.40.5
117.9→118.4
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
red by 30.7
5445
#29
87.70.7
88.4→87.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed