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Semifinal 1-12018 Shenzhen Regional
Red400
5453160.8
5883158.5
5849118.3
Blue173
6402120.4
6706133.5
6801121.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357245100200300400500600400173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#2
160.80.7
157.9→158.6
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
red by 27.3
6706
#6
133.50.3
133.0→133.3
Auto16.0
Teleop105.8
End12.0
Second
5883
#1
158.50.6
156.1→156.7
Auto17.3
Teleop120.2
End22.1
red by 37.2
6801
#18
121.30.2
120.9→121.1
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End7.2
Third
5849
#20
118.30.3
117.0→117.3
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
blue by 2.1
6402
#12
120.40.5
119.5→120.0
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7